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GOP in 2016

Is there a chance that the GOP Presidential Candidate could win the White House in 2016? The 2016 election is more than 2 years away. There is a chance, but is it a good chance? Recently a poll came out that is quite telling. According to this poll 25% of Americans identify themselves as Republicans. 31% of Americans identify themselves as Democrats and 42% of Americans identify themselves as Independents, which is a record for Independents. This takes us back to our question, Is there a chance that the GOP Presidential Candidate could win the White House in 2016? First I would say that this survey is telling and if a GOP campaign is developed based on this, the results could be victory. Here’s how this is possible. The 2016 GOP nominee should be someone that can attract independent voters. Going into the election you know that you already have 25% of the vote locked up. To win you would need another 26% of the vote. Assuming the democrats keep their 31%, the GOP candidate would have to get 26% out of the 42% leaving just 16% for the democratic candidate. The best way to accomplish this is for the GOP candidate to be moderate. Someone that can keep the GOP base and attract independent voters would be candidates like Ron Paul, Chris Christie and Jeb Bush. They best fit this mode. Far right candidates like Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio are polarizing and could be a turnoff for independent voters. Selecting a moderate candidate could make things interesting for a democratic challenger and force him or her to fight hard for independent voters. Selecting a far right candidate would likely have the opposite effect. Independents would be harder for them to sell resulting in a likely 2016 landslide election in favor of the democratic candidate. So there is a way for the GOP to win back the White House in 2016. It’s up to the GOP to follow the blueprint to victory.


References’’’


Politics


 

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